XRP and ETH Rally Patterns: Why Some Analysts Are Wrong about XRP and Ethereum

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Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has shared a comparative study of Ethereum (ETH) and XRP, applying the same Fibonacci extension method to both assets. His analysis uses the 2018 market peak and the 2020 market bottom as key reference points.

According to his calculations, ETH’s 1.618 Fibonacci extension projects a target zone between $7,700 and $8,000. Using the same approach for XRP, he places its 1.618 Fibonacci extension in the range of $27 to $31.

Egrag questioned why some technical analysts acknowledge ETH’s 1.618 Fibonacci target while rejecting the same projection for XRP. He emphasized that since both assets are measured using identical parameters, dismissing one while supporting the other reflects inconsistency and bias rather than objective technical reasoning.

Chart Observations and Market Structures

The charts shared by Egrag display both ETH and XRP on the weekly timeframe. The ETH chart marks the 2018 high and 2020 low, highlighting a head-and-shoulders formation that developed between 2021 and 2024.

Alongside the structural analysis, several Fibonacci levels are outlined, including the 1.414 level near $4,405, the 1.0 level around $1,413, and the 0.702 retracement zone close to $623. The 1.618 extension level, positioned near $7,714 to $8,401, is presented as the major upside projection.

For XRP, the chart shows a long consolidation pattern forming after the 2018 peak and the 2020 low. Within this structure, Egrag highlights the Fibonacci levels relevant to XRP’s potential future trajectory.

The 1.0 level is positioned at $3.52, the 1.414 extension at $15.23, and the 1.618 extension between $27 and $31. The 0.702 retracement level, identified at $1.22, is also noted as a key technical marker. These visual references support the claim that both assets, when analyzed through the same mathematical process, point to substantial long-term upside targets.

Timing Considerations and Market Cycles

Egrag also addressed broader market cycles. He stated that he does not rule out the possibility of an extended cycle running into 2028, which could include a significant bear market phase in 2026.

He further suggested that a major local peak could form in the fourth quarter of 2025, indicating that while Fibonacci targets remain intact, the path to reaching them may include both rallies and corrective moves.

He contrasted his analysis with more aggressive projections from other commentators, some of whom claim ETH could reach between $15,000 and $20,000 within the next few months. Egrag’s stance focused instead on consistent technical measurement rather than speculative short-term forecasts.

He concluded with a message to the XRP community, encouraging holders to remain steady and focused as the outlined technical targets continue to unfold over the coming years.

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